We’re at 69 in the first NET rankings of the year.

https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/basketball-men/d1/ncaa-mens-basketball-net-rankings

Other notables:

40. Dayton
45. Drake
52. SF
57. Bonnies
58. RI
63. DePaul
72. VCU
79. GM

Not bad considering our schedule so far. Obviously early and things can change, and we still have a very narrow path to an at-large berth. Basically, we need to:

-not lose any Q3/Q4 games - St. Louis having such a poor NET ranking is a huge concern here

-need a winning record against Q2 teams. We've got most of the tough ones at home, so win those and we'll be in good shape

-and need to nab at least 2 Q1 wins to be on the bubble.

These look like our chances at Q1 wins, depending on how things shake out:

Nebraska 44 N
Oregon State 49 N
San Francisco 52 N
Dayton 40 A
Dayton 40 H (based on how they played in Maui, I think they are top 30 by end of season)
George Mason A 79

We don't have much margin for error in the non-con. My current thinking is that if we want an at-large, we really want to win out our non-con schedule. It's not over if we don't, but that would give us some breathing room to go 0-2 vs. Dayton and/or drop a game against SLU.

I am far from an expert -- does this sound about right?

I bet the princeton win gets to q2 by the end of the year. They're at 137 and they only need to get to 135 for that to move.

69!

Princeton is now up to 107.

Down to 88 after the loss. There is still some hope for Q1 wins, Oregon State (42) and Nebraska (57) are both borderline Q1 cases, meanwhile Dayton's big win pulls them to 23rd, meaning we would have two shots at Q1 wins against them, with a possible third in the A10 tourney.

At-large chances will get extremely dim if we don't win the Diamondhead. Drew has a big coaching challenge now with the injuries to Dawson and Moore. Will be interesting to see what he goes with.

Kenpom has our strength of schedule at #360. Oakland is #4, so I'm going out on a limb to say they are going to be prepared for us.

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watched a little of the Oakland / Michigan game...Oakland has decent players and hung with UM for about 30 minutes. They have some length and bulk...could be a physical issue for us.