Unfortunately, I think losing Hutson really puts us in a bind for next season. I’m sure Golden was a nice guy, but he did not nearly live up to expectations. I didn’t expect Krutwig production, but I also didn’t think we’d get less than 20 lackluster minutes a game from him.
It looks like we’ve got 3 spots to fill. I’m curious to know what everyone wants from the transfer portal? I think the one thing we learned this year is that we need to get bigger down low to compete in the A-10. We can have a small point guard in Norris, but every other position needs to get bigger.
Phil Alston is a beast, but at only 6’6”, I think it’s too tall of a task to ask him to guard 6’9” and 6’10” power forwards in the post in this league. Alston is a great Valley power forward, but a vulnerable A-10 one. It seems like a major reason he got himself in foul trouble this year. Plus, in terms of development, Phil’s professional chances hinge on him being able to play guard/wing because of his height. I’d really like to see the staff work with him to get him conditioned to play the 3 position. I think it’s good for us and for HIM I’m the future.
If our plan is to play Tom Welch at center again this year, we are in major trouble and it will be a long season. A 6’8” Welch is not an A-10 backup center, and definitely not an A-10 starting center. It somewhat worked in the Valley, but it’s just not going to work here. We’ve seen that. There were two years recently where I think we only had 1 player foul out of a game all season. Now we seem plagued with foul trouble. I’d like to see Tom play in the 4 spot, which I think is his true position. Hopefully Drew begins to grow and make necessary adjustments. He needs to ask himself - would any of the other 14 teams want Tom Welch as a backup center? Hopefully he realizes the answer is “no.”
There are reports that Miles Rubin is 6’10”. Hutson was actually 6’11, so I would love to hear from the contingency of fans that went to see Rubin play to let us know if they think he’s actually 6’10” using Hutson as a comparison. My guess is he’s more like 6’8” or 6’9”. He’s also a bit lanky and needs to put on muscle, which should happen in the next year or two. With that being said - his quickness and athleticism, but lack of build, make him much more suited to play the 4 position next year. I don’t want us to put him in situations where he has to contend against veteran, muscled-up centers in the A-10. I think his lankiness and inexperience is going to make him foul-prone, and ultimately ineffective as a 5. Plus, if he can’t hack it, our fallback options will be either an undersized Welch or … well.. nobody now. I hope our plan is to play him at the 4.
In my mind, our current depth chart should sort of look as follows:
5 - ????? / ?????
4 - Rubin (6’9”) / Welch (6’8”)
3 - Alston (6’6”) / Schweiger (6’7”)
2 - Edwards (6’4”) / Dawson (6’4”) Kennedy (6’1”)
1 - Norris (6’0”) / Quinn (6’3”) / ?????
We need 40 minutes a piece from each position. With this depth chart:
I have 100% confidence at the 3 position with Alston and Schwieger splitting time
I have 100% confidence in the 2 position. I think Edwards finally gets it and is prime for a breakout season. Kennedy’s injuries make me sad, but I still think he can provide sparks off the bench in short spurts. The intel on Dawson sounds like he’s going to be great, and he’s got size and a year of conditioning.
I have 65% confidence in the 1 position. Braden is going to bring it in his swan song season, but his size hurts us. I don’t think he’s built to be an A-10 leading point guard, but his leadership, experience and drive make him invaluable. It’ll be a make-or-break year for Quinn. We need him to cut down the turnovers. If Norris has to give us more than 30 minutes, we are in trouble.
I’m 45% confident in the 4 spot. I think Welch is fully capable of giving us 18-20 minutes a game in that position. The big question mark is Rubin. We’re going to ask him to do a lot his freshmen year BUT he’s our best rated high school recruit since Kennedy. Also - we need to plan for the future so we need to give him minutes, keep him happy and focused on improving and committed to a 4 year process and experience. I’m much more comfortable with an ineffective 18-year old Rubin, learning and growing, than 20 ineffective minutes of a 5th year Bryce Golden that leads us with only a gigantic hole to fill at the end of the season.
0% confidence at center right now - whether it’s with nothing or with Welch as a backup center. ONE of the 3 available spots has to be filled by a center. WE NEED A 6’10” guy with experience or we are screwed. Had we played Hutty more this year, we probably could have kept him. When Drew evaluates himself this year, I hope he realizes the major mistake he made. Once we went 0–6 in conference, after 17 games, Drew needed to realize 1) Golden was a bust and gone in 60 days, and 2) Hutty had 2 years of eligibility left after the season. Whether he sucked or figured it out - Drew owed him 12 games to earn a spot next year. Now, instead of possibly only needing to fill 20 minutes at the center position, we need to fill 40. Ugh….
My prioritized hopes to fill our spots:
1) a 6’10” center with 2 years of eligibility
2) a 6’9”, double digit scoring PF (1 year of eligibility is fine) who can a) play back-up center, and b) play the back-up 4 spot
3) a backup point guard who sat the bench on a power-6 program, 3 years of eligibility left (i.e. Clayton Custer), with a chip on his shoulder, ready to make his name in the mid major ranks.
If the stars align and we get those 3 type of players, we’re covered for success in the present and prepping the roster for the future. BUT - the key to all of it is FIRST getting a 6’10” starting center.
If you can’t get a 6’10” starting center, we have to go into mitigation mode. All 3 portal players need to be at least 6’8” guys, and we are going to have to play them all in the 5 and 4 spots by committee just to tread water. Also, at the end of next season, we will be in desperate need of a veteran point guard.
Thoughts? Am I way off?
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