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PostPosted: Sat Jan 24, 2015 3:37 pm 
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ahunte1 wrote:
JCT wrote:
By the way, if SIU beats Evansville today, we're tied with SIU for 6th in the conference and SIU has the tiebreaker over us. So we'd be a Thursday team.


Does that mean that even if we beat SIU at home they would still have the tiebreaker?

The loss there was a killer.


No. If we split with them and it's a a two-way tie, it goes to non-con strength of schedule, and we have the advantage there. As of now, we're 124th in non-con SOS, and they're 319th. We blew the sweep against Evansville (who is only 2 places below us in non-conference strength of schedule), so we have to hope that our non-con foes do better than theirs if we should somehow tie with the Aces. Bradley, Missouri State, and Illinois State also have better non-con SOS, so we'd lose out on a head to head tiebreaker if we split with any of them.

If it's a multiple tie, it goes to a pooled round robin, and if that doesn't break it, we're back to SOS again. So we don't want to split with Bradley, Missouri State, and Illinois State and end up in a tie with them. And with Evansville, we'll have to cross our fingers and root for Tulane, Boise State, Texas Tech, etc.


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PostPosted: Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:01 pm 
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OK ! Milton in this game at full strength, we likely win it--He was not--It is what it is. IKf he is well Wed, we play him--If not , do not. This gang is conceding NOTHING to anybody--WSU. included. We MUST play as if we can beat anyone--NO CONCESSIONS whatsoever. Now if PM is not sure re Milton--whether he is well or not that is, then do not play him--BUT LUC pays him to know !!
Once agin this team proved to ME at least, that they can play--
When you are out-gunned , you lose--BUT this bunch hangs in--THAT , gang, is refreshing !!

Nope--I do not like losing--but, these guys have done it in style. Still a ways to go--I see wins against MO ST 2 Siu, Drake Bradley and a split against ISU R- and finally Trees-- IF Milton is back cured that is--

We are NOT in bad shape


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PostPosted: Sat Jan 24, 2015 5:41 pm 
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Wow, Brot. I wish I could be as optimistic.

I don't know if we win this game with a healthy Doyle, but it would probably be closer. I'm also concerned about four consecutive bad or sub-par games by Peterson. His plus/minus in this game was -21 (meaning the other team outscored us by 21 points while he was on the court). He had eight points, yes, but it took him 10 fg attempts and 6 ft attempts to get it. Going into the Drake game, Peterson was 28 of 30 on free throw attempts (93.3%), 53.4% on field goals, and 55% on threes. Since then, he's 2 of 7 on free throws (28.6%), 33.3% on field goals, and 14.7% on threes. There's also the fact that Drake's 6'2" senior guard Gary Ricks (24 points on 7 threes), SIU's 6'2" junior guard Anthony Beane (20 points on 6 of 7 fgs), and ISUb's 6'2" junior guard Devonte Brown (24 points on 7 threes) have lit us up in three of the past four games-- the only three times this year that an opposing player has scored 20 or more against us, and all of it done by a player that would naturally be a defensive responsibility of Peterson (though not his alone). It's bad enough not having a healthy Doyle, but I'd argue that no Doyle and an unhealthy Peterson is too much for us to overcome no matter the opposition.

We've got to play smart with Doyle's return. We've already basically conceded two winnable games in order to get Doyle back and healthy, why risk re-injury in the biggest longshot of the year (on the road at #14 Wichita State, where they've won 24 straight and haven't lost a home game since February 2013), against the same team we were playing when the injury happened? We've committed to the plan of getting Doyle healthy through rest, and maybe sacrificed an important home win to do it. Let's not also risk throwing away the sacrifice on a 20-1 longshot. Hell, I'd even be thinking about also resting Peterson against WSU. It's not like the beating WSU on their own court is going to erase the losses to Evansville and Indiana State. It would only be a Sportscenter blurb, one game in the standings, and back into the 80s on RPI.

We're trying to avoid Thursday and get to postseason, and the losses to Evansville and Indiana State not only took us out of NIT contention, it made avoiding Thursday and getting an 8-10 conference finish (probably the minimum for a C-tournament bid) much more improbable. If rest is the way to get Doyle back healthy (a proposition we've invested in), the risk/reward of playing competitively/beating WSU isn't worth the risk of being back at square one again with a string of winnable/must win games coming up.


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PostPosted: Sat Jan 24, 2015 5:46 pm 
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Yeah what is up with Peterson. He impressed me as a guy who could be a big scorer. Is his injury that bad? I am also still concerned with our offense. We put the ball on the floor so much.....and try to get in to the post which isnt our strength. WHere did James get his points today ? Was it inside???


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PostPosted: Sat Jan 24, 2015 6:20 pm 
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JCT wrote:
Wow, Brot. I wish I could be as optimistic.

I don't know if we win this game with a healthy Doyle, but it would probably be closer. I'm also concerned about four consecutive bad or sub-par games by Peterson. His plus/minus in this game was -21 (meaning the other team outscored us by 21 points while he was on the court). He had eight points, yes, but it took him 10 fg attempts and 6 ft attempts to get it. Going into the Drake game, Peterson was 28 of 30 on free throw attempts (93.3%), 53.4% on field goals, and 55% on threes. Since then, he's 2 of 7 on free throws (28.6%), 33.3% on field goals, and 14.7% on threes. There's also the fact that Drake's 6'2" senior guard Gary Ricks (24 points on 7 threes), SIU's 6'2" junior guard Anthony Beane (20 points on 6 of 7 fgs), and ISUb's 6'2" junior guard Devonte Brown (24 points on 7 threes) have lit us up in three of the past four games-- the only three times this year that an opposing player has scored 20 or more against us, and all of it done by a player that would naturally be a defensive responsibility of Peterson (though not his alone). It's bad enough not having a healthy Doyle, but I'd argue that no Doyle and an unhealthy Peterson is too much for us to overcome no matter the opposition.

We've got to play smart with Doyle's return. We've already basically conceded two winnable games in order to get Doyle back and healthy, why risk re-injury in the biggest longshot of the year (on the road at #14 Wichita State, where they've won 24 straight and haven't lost a home game since February 2013), against the same team we were playing when the injury happened? We've committed to the plan of getting Doyle healthy through rest, and maybe sacrificed an important home win to do it. Let's not also risk throwing away the sacrifice on a 20-1 longshot. Hell, I'd even be thinking about also resting Peterson against WSU. It's not like the beating WSU on their own court is going to erase the losses to Evansville and Indiana State. It would only be a Sportscenter blurb, one game in the standings, and back into the 80s on RPI.

We're trying to avoid Thursday and get to postseason, and the losses to Evansville and Indiana State not only took us out of NIT contention, it made avoiding Thursday and getting an 8-10 conference finish (probably the minimum for a C-tournament bid) much more improbable. If rest is the way to get Doyle back healthy (a proposition we've invested in), the risk/reward of playing competitively/beating WSU isn't worth the risk of being back at square one again with a string of winnable/must win games coming up.


Thanks for the tiebreaker update.

Great stats about the defense. It reminds me of two years ago when guards from GB, Youngstown, Cleveland, etc. regularly went off against us for season highs.

I don't believe in conceding games, and I don't think that's what we have done. I think we took our best shot to win, which was to play without an injured Doyle. If he is healthy, then there is no risk bringing him back at WSU. I wouldn't play him if there is a question, but if he's ready to go you have to let him go. If players are injured, you sit them. It's not like the Spurs resting healthy players. I think that is a joke.

A win at WSU (huge longshot) would be more than a highlight. It could be the difference between 8 and 9 wins. Or the difference between me spending Thursday night at the casino making up for Vegas and watching us play Drake for the third time.

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PostPosted: Sat Jan 24, 2015 6:29 pm 
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WELL, Yes I am optimistic--No , do not play him if there is any doubt re his health--IF though he is healthy--BIG IF--play him. Hey, anyone risks injury the minute they get on the floor. Now last year Coach could not do this--Attitude problems--This go round we are a tough nosed team. That is a big difference.
I of course do not know if we would have won today if Milt was well--BUT I would wager that we would have--Ifs and buts dept .

Re Earl and turf toe--He's the one with it , right ? Cripes!! No wonder his stats and Defense is down--that thing affects most all you do on court-- SO next man up on this case as he is doing us no good as is.

Again most teams get injuries--We are the unlucky ones--The MVC prospers standing-wise because of our hurts--Bears in trouble as well, of course.

One thing for sure--this MVC of ours is no pitty-pat League . Far far different than that Horizon.

I still like our chances even though this year was a build year as most said, leading up to next year.


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