Early Pomeroy projections:

Bradley 68, SIU 63
UNI 73, Illinois St 70

Missouri St 72, Valpo 64
Indiana St 71, Evansville 65


Thursday Odds

BU 65%/SIU 35%
UNI 59%/ISU 41%

Odds To Reach Semis

89.4 Loyola
83.9 Drake
75.7 Missouri St
69.6 Indiana St
30.4 Evansville
24.3 Valpo
10.8 UNI
8.3 Bradley
5.3 Illinois St
2.3 SIU

Odds To Reach Final

77.6 Loyola
58.4 Drake
31.3 Missouri St
14.1 Indiana St
4.8 Valpo
4.2 Bradley
3.9 UNI
3.3 Evansville
1.5 Illinois St
0.8 SIU

Odds To Win Arch Madness

57.4 Loyola
24.6 Drake
9.3 Missouri St
5.1 Indiana St
1.3 Bradley
0.7 Valpo, Evansville
0.6 UNI
0.2 Illinois St, SIU

I think Drake's chances are severely overstated given their injuries.

Agree - KenPom builds their rankings based on team production and not player production so I don't think the injuries are fully baked into their model.

Well I am going to start my worrying early.....I am concerned that SIU will defeat Bradley (especially if the 3 suspended players dont return) and we have to play em 3 times in a row.

That's what I expect to happen.

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It won't be 3 times in a row for them.

Also, they will be playing the second of a back to back.

Loyola has had double digit leads in each game and let them back in. I expect the Ramblers to run and hide this time

I know what you mean. I think we are all worried that we could see a repeat of last year, when we beat Valpo twice and then lost after they had played on Thursday. This year's team is much better than last year's. I don't think we will lose on Friday. A lot of these teams can be scary though. At least we know we're pretty much locked in to go to the NCAA tournament, regardless of Arch Madness

Mullins said that Domask is out.

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After last year, I will never not be uncomfortable with a double digit lead at Arch Madness.

That also makes me think, how many of our 4 losses this year were we up by double digits? 2? Indiana State and Drake we were. Richmond we were not. We jumped out to an early lead on Wisconsin, but I don’t remember the exact margin we were up.

We got out to a 7-0 lead over Wisconsin. I don't think they scored until 3 minutes in.